Monday, June 16, 2008

That Statistics of Polling

For those of you that are interested in presidential polling but realize that pure polling is generally wrong, there is a website that aims to solve it. is a website created by a baseball statistician, who runs linear regression among many other statistical formulas to provide a far more accurate estimate for true polling data based on the results of many of the famous polling companies. His statistical models are likely to be far more accurate than polls, and completely free of spin and bias.

And if you're wondering, according to recent poll numbers, Barack Obama is currently winning 300.3 electoral votes, and has a 62.1% chance of winning the election. Not nearly as high as I'd like it to be, but it is slowly rising.

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